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◆STRAIT OF HORMUZ: Iran gives US 5-day deadline (Sep 24) to accept reopening terms; UN roadmap floats 60-day regional ceasefire ◆SOUTH CHINA SEA: Chinese armed trainer jets drive away Philippine aircraft over Scarborough Shoal — Sep 4, 2026; CCG-PCG interactions running ~19 days/month ◆DRC: Ebola (Bundibugyo virus) — 7,773 confirmed cases, 3,759 deaths across 7 provinces as of Sep 22, 2026; Ituri cases falling but North Kivu up 73% in 3 weeks ◆INDIA-PAKISTAN: Hague Permanent Court of Arbitration rules IWT “remains fully in force,” India must observe it — Sep 1, 2026; India rejects the ruling ◆CERT-In’s June 10 Guidelines now impose direct, enforceable AI-vulnerability obligations on OEMs/tech vendors, building on the May 25 12-hour patch blueprint ◆YEMEN/RED SEA: Houthi attacks since Jul 20 blockade declaration have killed sailors and sunk a vessel; Yemeni govt forces now pushing back around Taiz — Sep 2026 ◆China’s Oct 2025 comprehensive rare-earth export controls remain suspended under the US-China truce through Nov 10, 2026 — but the pause is set to expire ◆TAIWAN STRAIT: PLA jet sorties hit a 3-year low in H1 2026 (SCMP), yet near-daily median-line crossings and PLAN patrols continue ◆STRAIT OF HORMUZ: Iran gives US 5-day deadline (Sep 24) to accept reopening terms; UN roadmap floats 60-day regional ceasefire ◆SOUTH CHINA SEA: Chinese armed trainer jets drive away Philippine aircraft over Scarborough Shoal — Sep 4, 2026; CCG-PCG interactions running ~19 days/month ◆DRC: Ebola (Bundibugyo virus) — 7,773 confirmed cases, 3,759 deaths across 7 provinces as of Sep 22, 2026; Ituri cases falling but North Kivu up 73% in 3 weeks ◆INDIA-PAKISTAN: Hague Permanent Court of Arbitration rules IWT “remains fully in force,” India must observe it — Sep 1, 2026; India rejects the ruling ◆CERT-In’s June 10 Guidelines now impose direct, enforceable AI-vulnerability obligations on OEMs/tech vendors, building on the May 25 12-hour patch blueprint ◆YEMEN/RED SEA: Houthi attacks since Jul 20 blockade declaration have killed sailors and sunk a vessel; Yemeni govt forces now pushing back around Taiz — Sep 2026

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▸ ASSESSMENT: The Iran war/Hormuz crisis, now in its seventh month with Iran issuing the US a five-day deadline (Sep 24) over reopening terms, plus renewed Houthi attacks on Red Sea/Saudi shipping and unresolved India-Pakistan and Taiwan Strait tensions collectively push open-source readiness assessment well above normal peacetime posture.

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