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How New-Generation Trade Pacts are Powering India’s Export Rise

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Amid shifting global supply chains, geopolitical realignments and continuous economic uncertainty, India is quietly but decisively strengthening itself in the global trade arena. India’s export story in the last year is not only that of recovery-but it is a larger story of deeper structural change that has been enabled by diversification and policy reforms and has created a new generation of trade agreements that transcend tariff red cuts by far. This momentum can be seen by the year-on-year export performance from November 2024 to November 2025. India is not only becoming a reliable supplier, but also a strategic partner in an increasingly fragmented global trading system.

Export Performance: Growth with Stability

Between November 2024 and November 2025, India’s total exports rose from USD 64.05 billion to USD 73.99 billion, registering a robust 15.52% growth. Imports, by contrast, remained largely stable at USD 80.63 billion, leading to a sharp 61.07% reduction in the trade deficit-from USD 17.06 billion to USD 6.64 billion.

This narrowing of the trade gap is significant. It reflects not only export growth but also better alignment between imports, domestic production, and global demand. At a time when many economies are grappling with widening trade imbalances, India’s trajectory points to a more sustainable external sector.

Merchandise and Services: A Balanced Export Engine

India’s export growth in November 2025 was supported by both merchandise and services, reinforcing the country’s shift toward a more balanced export structure.

Merchandise accounted for 51.53% of total exports, while services contributed 48.47%, underscoring India’s emergence as a hybrid export economy-where manufacturing strength and services competitiveness complement each other.

Sectoral Drivers

Several sectors recorded notable gains:

Export Diversification: Reducing Risk, Building Resilience

Export diversification has become a central pillar of India’s trade strategy. In an era marked by demand volatility, geopolitical shocks, and supply-chain disruptions, over-reliance on a narrow basket of products or markets can expose economies to sharp external risks.

By expanding across products and destinations, India is:

Trade Agreements as Strategic Growth Tools

India’s recent trade diplomacy reflects a clear shift-from tariff-centric FTAs to new-generation trade pacts that integrate goods, services, investment, mobility, and regulatory cooperation. Two agreements concluded in December 2025 illustrate this evolution: the India–New Zealand Free Trade Agreement and the India–Oman Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA).

India-New Zealand FTA: Expanding India’s Pacific Footprint

The India–New Zealand FTA marks one of India’s most comprehensive trade agreements with a developed economy in the Pacific region.

Key highlights include:

Managed Liberalisation with Safeguards

India has liberalised 70% of tariff lines, covering 95% of New Zealand exports by value, while ensuring gradual adjustment:

Crucially, nearly 30% of tariff lines are excluded, including dairy, select animal products, vegetables, almonds, and sugar-safeguarding India’s sensitive agricultural and dairy sectors.

Services, Mobility, and IPR

The agreement includes India’s most ambitious services offer, covering 118 services sectors, alongside progressive mobility provisions:

New Zealand has also committed to amending its Geographical Indication (GI) law, extending protection to Indian agricultural and artisanal products on par with European Union standards.

India–Oman CEPA: Deepening Integration in West Asia

Signed in December 2025, the India–Oman CEPA builds on 70 years of diplomatic relations and positions Oman as a key pillar of India’s West Asia trade strategy.

Key outcomes include:

India already holds a 10.24% share in Oman’s agricultural imports, exporting rice, fruits, processed foods, marine products, meat, and condiments. The CEPA significantly strengthens India’s competitiveness through duty-free access across key product categories.

Notably, the agreement includes:

With over 6,000 India–Oman joint ventures operating in Oman, the CEPA provides a structured framework for scaling trade, investment, and services-led cooperation.

Domestic Reforms Supporting Export Competitiveness

India’s external trade gains are reinforced by sustained domestic reforms:

Conclusion

India’s export trajectory reflects a decisive shift-from volume-driven trade to value-led, diversified, and robust global integration. Strong sectoral performance, deliberate export diversification, and new-generation trade agreements such as the India–New Zealand FTA and India–Oman CEPA are reshaping India’s role in global commerce.

With the evolution of the global trade structures, India is emerging not merely as a participant, but as a shaper of supply chains, standards and strategic alliances, which are anchored on competitiveness, trust and long-term economic resilience.

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