Over the past 24 hours leading up to 8:30 AM, most parts of North India, including Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi region, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, western parts of Gangetic West Bengal, southwest Bihar, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Chhattisgarh, and Odisha, have experienced heatwave to severe heatwave conditions. Isolated pockets of Jammu-Kashmir, West Madhya Pradesh, and Vidarbha also reported similar conditions. Temperatures soared between 44-46°C in many regions, with Kanpur IAF in East Uttar Pradesh recording the highest at 46.3°C. These temperatures are 4-8°C above the seasonal average.
Extended Heatwave Warning
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued warnings for continued heatwave conditions over the next five days. Uttar Pradesh will face widespread heatwave to severe heatwave conditions until June 18. Punjab and Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi will experience similar conditions on June 16-17. Isolated areas of Bihar and Jharkhand will also witness heatwaves during this period, with a gradual decrease in intensity thereafter.
Other regions expected to face heatwave conditions include isolated pockets of Jammu Division, Himachal Pradesh, north Rajasthan (June 16-18), Uttarakhand, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal (June 16-17), and Vidarbha (June 16). Warm night conditions are predicted in isolated pockets of Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya Pradesh on June 16-17, with Delhi experiencing warmer nights from June 16-18, and Vidarbha on June 16.
Southwest Monsoon Advancement
The IMD forecasts favourable conditions for the southwest monsoon to advance into additional parts of Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, and Northwest Bay of Bengal, as well as parts of Gangetic West Bengal, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, and Bihar over the next four to five days.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northeast
Weather patterns influenced by a cyclonic circulation over northeast Assam and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, along with an east-west trough from northwest Bihar to Meghalaya, will bring widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30-40 kmph) over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim over the next five days. Isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall is likely in these regions, with extremely heavy rainfall predicted for Assam & Meghalaya on June 18.
Western Disturbance Impact
A fresh Western Disturbance is likely to affect northwestern parts of the country, including Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, and neighboring states from June 18-20. This disturbance will bring light to moderate isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (30-40 kmph). Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, and Chhattisgarh will experience similar weather conditions over the next five days.
Weather Impact on Western and Southern India
A cyclonic circulation over the northeast Arabian Sea near Saurashtra, and a trough extending from this system to the east-central Arabian Sea off the Maharashtra coast, will influence weather over western and southern India. Gujarat, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, and Marathwada are expected to experience scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rainfall with thunderstorms and lightning during the next five days. Isolated heavy rainfall is anticipated over Konkan & Goa on June 16 and June 18-20, Madhya Maharashtra on June 16 and June 19-20, and Saurashtra & Kutch on June 16.